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Publication List 2020

Feb 07,2021

Allen, J. T., I.M. Giammanco, M.R. Kumjian, H.J. Punge, Q. Zhang, P. Groenemeijer, M. Kunz, and K. Ortega, 2020. Understanding hail in the Earth system, Reviews of Geophysics, 58, e2019RG000665. Doi:10.1029/2019RG000665.

Bannister, T., E.E. Ebert, J. Silver. E. Newbigin, E.R. Lampugnani, N. Hughes, C. Looker, V. Mulvenna, P. Jones, J. Davies, C. Suphioglu, P.J. Beggs, K.M. Emmerson, A. Huete, H. Nguyen, T. Williams, P. Douglas, A. Wain, M. Carroll, D. Csutoros, 2020: A pilot forecasting system for epidemic thunderstorm asthma in south-eastern Australia. Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0140.1.

Barthlott, C. and Barrett, A. I., 2020: Large impact of tiny model domain shifts for the Pentecost 2014 mesoscale convective system over Germany, Weather Clim. Dynam., 1, 207–224, doi: 10.5194/wcd-1-207-2020.

Calvello M., Devoli G., Freeborough K., Gariano S.L., Guzzetti F., Kirschbaum D., Nakaya H., Robbins J. and M Stahl 2020, LandAware: a new international network on Landslide Early Warning Systems. Landslides, 17, 2699-2702 DOI: 10.1007/s10346-020-01548-7.

Dacre H.F., Pinto J.G., 2020: Serial clustering of extratropicalcyclones: a review of where, when and why it occurs, npj Clim. Atmos.  Sci., 3, doi:10.1038/s41612-020-00152-9.

Dowdy, A.J., Soderholm, J., Brook, J., Brown, A. and McGowan, H., 2020. Quantifying Hail and Lightning Risk Factors Using Long‐Term Observations Around Australia. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 125(21), p.2020JD033101.

Fragkoulidis, G. and V. Wirth, 2020: Local Rossby Wave Packet Amplitude, Phase Speed, and Group Velocity: Seasonal Variability and their Role in Temperature Extremes, J. Clim., 33, 1–53, doi:  10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0377.1.

Gall, M. and C.J. Friedland, 2020. If mitigation saves $6 per every $1 spent, then why are we not investing more? A Louisiana perspective on a national issue, Natural Hazards Review, 21(1):04019013. DOI: 10.1061/(ASCE)NH.1527-6996.0000342.

Ghinassi P., M. Baumgart, F. Teubler, M. Riemer, and V. Wirth, 2020:  A budget equation for the amplitude of Rossby wave packets based on finite amplitude local wave activity, J. Atmos. Sci., 77, 277–296, doi:10.1175/JAS-D-19-0149.1.

Grazzini, F., Fragkoulidis, G., Pavan, V., Antolini, G., 2020: The1994 Piedmont flood: an archetype of extreme precipitation events in Northern Italy, Bull. of Atmos. Sci.& Technol., doi:10.1007/s42865-020-00018-1.

Grimmond, S., V. Bouchet, L. T. Molina, A. Baklanov, J. Tan, K. H. Schlunzen, G. Mills, B. Golding, V. Masson, C. Ren, J. Voogt, S. Miao, H. Lean, B. Heusinkveld, A. Hovespyan, G. Teruggi, P. Parrish and P. Joe, 2020, Integrated urban hydrometeorological, climate and environmental services: Concept, methodology and key messages. Urban Climate, 33. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.uclim.2020.100623

Harvey, B., J. Methven, C. Sanchez, and A. Schäfler, 2020: Diabatic generation of negative potential vorticity and its impact on the North Atlantic jet stream, Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 146, 14771497, doi: 10.1002/qj.3747.

Hauser S., Grams C.M., Reeder M.J., McGregor S., Fink A.H., Quinting J.F., 2020: A weather system perspective on winter–spring rainfall variability in southeastern Australia during El Niño, Q. J. Royal Meteorol. Soc., 1-20, doi: 10.1002/qj.3808.

Hemmingway R and J Robbins, 2020, Developing a hazard-impact model to support impact-based forecasts and warnings: The Vehicle OverTurning (VOT) Model. Meteorological Applications, 27, 1, https://doi.org/10.1002/met.1819.

Hirt, M., G. C. Craig, S. A. K. Schäfer, J.Savre, and R. Heinze,2020: Cold pool driven convective initiation: using causal graph analysis to determine what convection permitting models are missing, Q. J. Royal Meteorol. Soc., doi: 10.1002/qj.3788.

Kaltenberger, R., A. Schaffhauser and M. Staudinger, 2020. “What the weather will do”–results of a survey on impact-oriented and impact-based warnings in European NMHSs. Advances in Science and Research, 17, 29-38.

Keil, C., L. Chabert, O. Nuissier, and L. Raynaud, 2020: Dependence of predictability of precipitation in the northwestern Mediterranean coastal region on the strength of synoptic control, Atmos. Chem.  Phys., 20, 15851–15865, doi: 10.5194/acp-20-15851-2020.

Kremer, T., E. Schömer, C. Euler, and M. Riemer, 2020: Cluster analysis tailored to structure change of tropical cyclones using a very large number of trajectories, Mon. Wea. Rev., 148, 1-59, doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-19-0408.1.

Kumjian, M.R., Gutierrez, R., Soderholm, J.S., Nesbitt, S.W., Maldonado, P., Luna, L.M., Marquis, J., Bowley, K.A., Imaz, M.A. and Salio, P., 2020. Gargantuan hail in Argentina. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 101(8), pp.E1241-E1258.

Kunz, M., J. Wandel, E. Fluck, S. Baumstark, S. Mohr, and S. Schemm, 2020. Ambient conditions prevailing during hail events in central Europe, Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 20:1867-1887. Doi:10.5194/nhess-20-1867-2020.

Lazo, J.K., H.R. Hosterman, J.M. Sprague-Hilderbrand, and J.E. Adkins, 2020. Impact-based decision support services and the socioeconomic impacts of winter storms, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 101(5):E626:639. DOI:10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0153.1.

Lerch, S., Baran, S., Möller, A., Groß, J., Schefzik, R., Hemri, S., and M. Graeter, 2020: Simulation-based comparison of multivariate ensemble post-processing methods, Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 27, 349–371, doi:10.5194/npg-27-349-2020.

Merz, B., Kuhlicke, C., Kunz, M., Pittore, M., Babeyko, A., Bresch, D. N., Domeisen, D.I.V., Feser, F., Koszalka, I., Kreibich, H., Pantillon, F., Parolai, S., Pinto, J.G., Punge, H.J., Rivalta, E., Schröter, K., Strehlow, K., Weisse, R., and Wurpts, A., 2020: Impact Forecasting to Support Emergency Management of Natural Hazards, Rev.  Geophys., 58, doi: 10.1029/2020RG000704.

Mills, B., 2020. An updated assessment of lightning-related fatality and injury risk in Canada: 2002-17, Natural Hazards, 102(3):997-1009. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11069-020-03942-9.

Mills, B., J. Andrey, S. Doherty, B. Doberstein, and J. Yessis, 2020. Winter storms and fall-related injuries: Is it safer to walk than to drive? Weather, Climate & Society. https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/WCAS-D-19-0099.1.

Mondino, E., A. Scolobig, M. Borga, F. Albrecht, J. Mard, P. Weyrich*, and G. Di Baldassarre, 2020. Exploring changes in hydrogeological risk awareness and preparedness over time: a case study in northeastern Italy, Hydrological Sciences Journal, DOI: 10.1080/02626667.2020.1729361.

Mostafiz, R.B., C.J. Friedland, R.V. Rohli, M. Gall, N. Bushra, and J.M. Gilliland, 2020. Census-block-level property risk estimation due to extreme cold temperature, hail, lightning, and tornadoes in Louisiana, United States, Frontiers in Earth Science, 8:601624. DOI: 10.3389/feart.2020.601624.

Ndalila, M.N., Williamson, G.J., Fox-Hughes, P., Sharples, J. and Bowman, D.M., 2020. Evolution of a pyrocumulonimbus event associated with an extreme wildfire in Tasmania, Australia. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 20(5), pp.1497-1511.

Neal, R., J. Robbins, R. Dankers, A. Mitra, A. Jayakumar, E.N. Rajagopal, and G. Adamson, 2020. Deriving optimal weather pattern definitions for the representation of precipitation variability over India, International Journal of Climatology, 40(1):342-360. DOI: 10.1002/joc.6215.

Necker, T., M. Weissmann, Y. Ruckstuhl, J. Anderson, and T. Miyoshi,2020: Sampling Error Correction Evaluated Using a Convective-Scale 1000-Member Ensemble, Mon. Wea. Rev., 148, 1229–1249, doi:  10.1175/MWR-D-19-0154.1.

Necker, T., S. Geiss, M. Weissmann, J. Ruiz, T. Miyoshi, and G.‐Y.  Lien, 2020: A convective‐scale 1,000‐member ensemble simulation and potential applications, Q. J. Royal Meteorol. Soc., 146, 1423-1442, doi:10.1002/qj.3617.

Nisi, L., A. Hering, U. Germann, K. Schroeer, H. Barras, M. Kunz, and O. Martius, 2020. Hailstorms in the Alpine region: Diurnal cycle, 4D-characteristics, and the nowcasting potential of lightning properties, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 146(733):4170-4194. DOI: 10.1002/qj.3897.

Rogers, D.P., L. Anderson-Berry, A.-M. Bogdanova, G. Fleming, H. Gitay, S. Kahandawa, H. Kootval, M. Staudinger, M. Suwa, V. Tsirkunov, and W. Wang, 2020. COVID-19 and lessons from multi-hazard early warning systems, Advances in Science and Research, 17:129-141. https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-17-129-2020.

Schäfler, A., B. Harvey, J. Methven, J.D. Doyle, S. Rahm, O.  Reitebuch, F. Weiler, and B. Witschas, 2020: Observation of jet stream winds during NAWDEX and characterization of systematic meteorological analysis errors, Mon. Wea. Rev., 148, 2889-2907, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-19-0229.1.

Spensberger, C., Madonna, E., Boettcher, M., Grams, C.M., Papritz, L., Quinting, J.F., Röthlisberger, M., Sprenger, M. and Zschenderlein, P., 2020: Dynamics of concurrent and sequential Central European and Scandinavian heatwaves, Q. J. Royal Meteorol. Soc., Accepted Author Manuscript, doi:10.1002/qj.3822.

Stern, D.P., Kepert, J.D., Bryan, G.H. and Doyle, J.D., 2020. Understanding atypical midlevel wind speed maxima in hurricane eyewalls. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 77(5), pp.1531-1557.

Stratman, D. R., N. Yussouf, Y. Jung, T. A. Supinie, M. Xue, P. S. Skinner, and B. J. Putnam, 2020: Optimal Temporal Frequency of NSSL Phased-Array Radar Observations for an Experimental Warn-on-Forecast System. Wea. Forecasting, in press. https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-19-0165.1.

Su, C.H., Eizenberg, N., Jakob, D., Fox-Hughes, P., Steinle, P., White, C.J. and Franklin, C., 2020. BARRA v1. 0: Kilometre-scale downscaling of an Australian regional atmospheric reanalysis over four midlatitude domains. Geoscientific Model Development Discussions, pp.1-34.

Vannitsem, S., Bremnes, J. B., Demaeyer, J., Evans, G. R., Flowerdew, J., Hemri, S., Lerch, S., Roberts, N., Theis, S., Ben Bouallègue, A. A. Z., Bhend, J., Dabernig, M., De Cruz, L., Hieta, L., Mestre, O., Moret, L., Odak Plenković, I., Schmeits, M., Taillardat,  M., Van den Bergh, J., Van Schaeybroeck, B., Whan, K., and Ylhaisi, J., 2020:  Statistical Postprocessing for Weather Forecasts – Review, Challenges and Avenues in a Big Data World, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.,doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0308.1.

Vaughan, A., Walsh, K.J. and Kepert, J.D., 2020. The Stationary Banding Complex and Secondary Eyewall Formation in Tropical Cyclones. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 125(6), p.e2019JD031515.

Vogel, P., Knippertz, P., Gneiting, T., Fink, A. H., Klar, M., Schlueter, A., 2020: Statistical forecasts for the occurrence of precipitation outperform global models over northern Tropical Africa, Geophys. Res. Lett., doi:10.1029/2020GL091022.

Vogel, P., Knippertz, P., Fink, A. H., Schlueter, A., Gneiting, T.,2020: Skill of global raw and postprocessed ensemble predictions of rainfall in the tropics, Wea. Forecasting, 35(6), 2367–2385, doi:10.1175/WAF-D-20-0082.1.

Ward, P.J., V. Blauhut, N. Bloemendaal, J.E. Daniell, M.C. de Ruiter, M.J. Duncan, R. Emberson, S.F. Jenkins, D. Kirschbaum, M. Kunz, S. Mohr, S. Muis, G.A. Riddell, A. Schäfer, T. Stanley, T.I.E. Veldkamp, and H.C. Wellmann, C., Barrett, A. I., Johnson, J. S., Kunz, M., Vogel, B., Carslaw, K. S., Hoose, C., 2020: Comparing the impact of environmental conditions and microphysics on the forecast uncertainty of deep convective clouds and hail, Atmos. Chem. Phys., 20 (4), 2201–2219.  doi:10.5194/acp-20-2201-2020.

Weyrich P., Scolobig A., Walther F., Patt A., 2020, Do intentions indicate actual behaviours? A comparison between scenario-based experiments and real-time observations of warning response, Journal of Contingencies and Crisis Management, 28: 240-250 https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-5973.12318.

Weyrich P., Scolobig A., Walther F., Patt A., 2020, Responses to severe weather warnings and affective decision-making, Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 20: 2811-2821 https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-2811-2020 .

Weyrich P., Mondino E., Borga M., Di Baldassare G., Patt A., Scolobig A., 2020, A flood risk oriented dynamic protection motivation framework to explain risk reduction behaviours, Natural Hazard and Earth System Sciences, 20 (1): 287-298.https://www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/20/287/2020/.

Wilhelm J., S. Mohr, H.J. Punge, B. Mühr, M. Schmidberger, J.E.  Daniell, K.M. Bedka, and M. Kunz, 2020: Severe thunderstorms with large hail across Germany in June 2019, Weather, doi:10.1002/wea.3886.

Winsemius, 2020. Review article: Natural hazard risk assessments at the global scale, Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 20:1069-1096. Doi:10.5194/nhess-20-1069-2020.

Wirth, V., 2020: Waveguidability of idealized midlatitude jets and the limitations of ray tracing theory, Weather Clim. Dynam.  Discussion, doi: 10.5194/wcd-2020-3.

Yussouf, N., K. A. Wilson S. M. Martinaitis, H. Vergara, P. L. Heinselman, and J. J. Gourley, 2020: The Coupling of NSSL Warn-on-Forecast and FLASH Systems for Probabilistic Flash Flood Prediction, J. Hydrometeorology, 21, 123-141, https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-19-0131.1.

Yussouf, N., Jones, T. A., and P. S. Skinner, 2020: Probabilistic High Impact Rainfall Forecasts from Landfalling Tropical Cyclones using Warn-on-Forecast System. Quarterly Journal of Royal Meteorological Society, 146, 2050–2065, https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3779.

Zeng, Y., T. Janjić, A. de Lozar, S. Rasp, U. Blahak, A. Seifert, and G.C. Craig, 2020: Comparison of Methods Accounting for Subgrid-Scale Model Error in Convective-Scale Data Assimilation, Mon.  Wea. Rev., 148, 2457–2477, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-19-0064.1.

Zschenderlein, P., Pfahl, S., Wernli, H., and Fink, A. H., 2020: A Lagrangian analysis of upper-tropospheric anticyclones associated with heat waves in Europe, Weather Clim. Dynam., 1, 191–206, doi: 10.5194/wcd-1-191-2020.

Li, X., Zhang, Q., Zhou, L., An, Y., 2020. Chemical composition of a hailstone: evidence for tracking hailstone trajectory in deep convection. April 2020, Science Bulletin 65(16), DOI: 10.1016/j.scib.2020.04.034.

Ni, X., Muehlbauer, A., Allen, J. T., Zhang, Q., & Fan, J. (2020). A Climatology and Extreme Value Analysis of Large Hail in China, Monthly Weather Review, 148(4), 1431-1447. Retrieved Feb 7, 2021, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-19-0276.1.

Allen, J. T., Giammanco, I. M., Kumjian, M. R., Punge, H. J., Zhang, Q., Groenemeijer, P., et al. (2020). Understanding hail in the Earth system. Reviews of Geophysics, 58, e2019RG000665. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019RG000665.

Kong, H., Zhang, Q., Du, Y., & Zhang, F. (2020). Characteristics of coastal low‐level jets over Beibu Gulf, China, during the early warm season. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 125, e2019JD031918. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD031918.

Zhang, F., Zhang, Q., & Sun, J. (2021). Initiation of an elevated mesoscale convective system with the influence of complex terrain during Meiyu season. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 126, e2020JD033416. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JD033416.

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